Accepted for/Published in: JMIR mHealth and uHealth
Date Submitted: Apr 15, 2026
Date Accepted: Jun 23, 2026
Date Submitted to PubMed: Jun 23, 2026
Warning: This is an author submission that is not peer-reviewed or edited. Preprints - unless they show as "accepted" - should not be relied on to guide clinical practice or health-related behavior and should not be reported in news media as established information.
Tobacco Use Trajectories and Associated Changes in Biometrics and Sleep During the First 72 Weeks of Wearable Membership: Observational Cohort Study
ABSTRACT
Background:
Tobacco use remains a leading preventable cause of morbidity and mortality. Digital health tools and wearable technologies offer scalable opportunities for behavioral self-monitoring. However, real-world evidence characterizing long-term tobacco use trajectories and associated physiological changes following wearable adoption are limited.
Objective:
To characterize longitudinal trajectories of self-reported tobacco use during the first 72 weeks of wearable adoption and examine associations between tobacco use and wearable-derived cardiopulmonary and sleep measures.
Methods:
We analyzed data from 12,678 new wearable members (18-79 yrs) who contributed up to 72 weeks of daily self-reported tobacco use and wearable-derived biometric data. Longitudinal trajectories of tobacco use were examined across prespecified 12-week quarters (Q1–Q6) using generalized linear mixed-effects models. Associations between tobacco use and nocturnal resting heart rate (RHR) and heart rate variability (HRV), respiratory rate (RR), and sleep duration were evaluated using linear mixed-effects models that accounted for within- and between-person variation and adjusted for demographic and temporal covariates.
Results:
Across 3,765,573 person-days, the estimated daily probability of tobacco use declined from 55.1% (95% CI: 53.8, 56.4) during Q1 to 27.2% (95% CI: 26.1, 28.3) during Q6, representing an absolute reduction of 27.9 percentage points (95% CI: -28.4, -27.4). Among tobacco users with end-of-follow-up data, 28.2% (1,404 of 4,975) reported no tobacco use during Q6. Greater logging engagement was associated with larger reductions in tobacco use; each 10 percentage point increase in engagement corresponded to a 0.92 percentage point greater decline from Q1 to Q6 (95% CI: -1.58, -0.26). Following tobacco-use days, RHR was 1.71 bpm higher (95% CI: 1.70, 1.73), HRV was 3.54 ms lower (95% CI: -3.59, -3.49), RR was 0.19 breaths/min higher (95% CI: 0.19, 0.20), and sleep duration was 9.78 minutes shorter (95% CI: −10.08, −9.49), relative to non-use days. Reductions in tobacco use over time were associated with directionally favorable changes in RHR, RR, and sleep duration (Ps≤.03).
Conclusions:
In this large-scale, real-world study of wearable device users, the probability of tobacco use declined over the first 72 weeks of wearable adoption. Among participants with end-of-follow-up data, more than one-quarter reported no tobacco use during Q6. Tobacco use was consistently associated with less favorable cardiopulmonary and sleep measures, while reductions in tobacco use over time co-occurred with directionally favorable changes in these measures. These findings provide large-scale, longitudinal evidence that sustained reductions in tobacco use co-occur with measurable improvements in physiological markers within a digital self-monitoring environment. Clinical Trial: N/A
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