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Accepted for/Published in: JMIR mHealth and uHealth

Date Submitted: Jan 19, 2026
Date Accepted: Jul 7, 2026

The final, peer-reviewed published version of this preprint can be found here:

Noninvasive Interstitial Glucose Estimation Using Wearables and Machine Learning in Healthy Individuals and Individuals With Obesity: Observational Cohort Study

Schmelter F, Huang X, Heidmann A, Beier P, Rundfeldt FM, Plöger C, Piet A, Hasan MA, Zhang Y, Jablonski L, Witt O, Schröder T, Derer S, Awai CE, Grzegorzek M, Sina C

Noninvasive Interstitial Glucose Estimation Using Wearables and Machine Learning in Healthy Individuals and Individuals With Obesity: Observational Cohort Study

JMIR Mhealth Uhealth 2026;14:e91724

DOI: 10.2196/91724

PMID: 42814917

Non-invasive Interstitial Glucose Estimation using Wearables and Machine Learning in Healthy and Obese Individuals: A Proof-of-Concept Study

  • Franziska Schmelter; 
  • Xinyu Huang; 
  • Annika Heidmann; 
  • Paul Beier; 
  • Friederike Miriam Rundfeldt; 
  • Christina Plöger; 
  • Artur Piet; 
  • Md Abid Hasan; 
  • Yuanheng Zhang; 
  • Lennart Jablonski; 
  • Oliver Witt; 
  • Torsten Schröder; 
  • Stefanie Derer; 
  • Chris Easthope Awai; 
  • Marcin Grzegorzek; 
  • Christian Sina

ABSTRACT

Background:

Continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) can facilitate weight management and lower the risk of metabolic diseases by providing real-time feedback on glycemic responses, thereby enabling more informed lifestyle decisions. However, current CGM systems remain constrained by invasiveness, cost, short sensor lifespan, limiting their practicality for guiding individualized postprandial low-glycemic diets.

Objective:

Extending earlier proof-of-concept findings, this study aimed to validate an interstitial glucose (IG) machine learning algorithm in real-world environments using multimodal, continuous data collected from wearable sensors and smartwatches.

Methods:

A total of 74 participants, 34 healthy and 40 metabolically at-risk, simultaneously used an invasive CGM device together with two non-invasive wristbands over two weeks.

Results:

The proposed long short-term memory network based on feature vectors obtained the best IG prediction performance with an average root mean squared error of 21.04 ± 8.32 mg/dL and 98.3% of predictions in Zone A and B of the Clarke error grid analysis, representing a high level of predictive accuracy.

Conclusions:

This study demonstrates that IG levels can be predicted from multimodal, non-invasive wearable sensor data using a machine learning approach under real-world conditions. While further validation in larger and more diverse cohorts is warranted, this approach represents a promising step toward accessible, personalized glycemic monitoring and dietary guidance.


 Citation

Please cite as:

Schmelter F, Huang X, Heidmann A, Beier P, Rundfeldt FM, Plöger C, Piet A, Hasan MA, Zhang Y, Jablonski L, Witt O, Schröder T, Derer S, Awai CE, Grzegorzek M, Sina C

Noninvasive Interstitial Glucose Estimation Using Wearables and Machine Learning in Healthy Individuals and Individuals With Obesity: Observational Cohort Study

JMIR Mhealth Uhealth 2026;14:e91724

DOI: 10.2196/91724

PMID: 42814917

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