Measuring Consistency between Large Language Models’ Responses to Preventive-Care Queries and Official Recommendations of the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force: A Systematic Test of All USPSTF Preventive-Care Topics via Simulated-User Prompts
ABSTRACT
Background:
Large language models (LLMs) provide a new source of information about preventive care activities. Existing research has found mixed performance among a small set of LLMs queried about select preventive care activities, thus calling for comprehensive testing of a large set of LLMs on a wider range of preventive care topics.
Objective:
To assess whether a large set of popular LLMs generate output about preventive care consistent with a comprehensive set of recommendations from the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF).
Methods:
We investigated whether 28 popular LLMs produced output consistent with all publicly available USPSTF recommendations and grades (n=142) published as of May 2025. LLMs received queries from simulated users, who asked whether they should participate in particular preventive care activities given their inclusion in a relevant population. LLM raters (κ=0.8893) assessed LLM-USPSTF concordance. Automated methods classified responses to detect sources of LLM-USPSTF discrepancy. The study, then, prompted LLMs to rate preventive care activities for relevant populations using the USPSTF grading scale.
Results:
The LLM with the highest concordance rate generated responses consistent with USPSTF recommendations in 89 of 133 tests (66.92%); the LLM with the lowest rate accorded with USPSTF recommendations in 61 out of 135 tests (45.19%). Automated content analysis indicated that LLM outputs equivocated in 3824 of 3902 tests (98.00%). When prompted to grade preventive care activities for particular populations using the USPSTF grading scale, the highest-performing LLM matched USPSTF grades in 122 out of 142 tests (85.92%); the worst matched in 45 out of 142 tests (31.69%).
Conclusions:
LLM deviation from official guidance indicates the continued importance of directing the public to authoritative sources of preventive care advice. Clinical Trial: N/A
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