Maintenance Notice

Due to necessary scheduled maintenance, the JMIR Publications website will be unavailable from Wednesday, July 01, 2020 at 8:00 PM to 10:00 PM EST. We apologize in advance for any inconvenience this may cause you.

Who will be affected?

Accepted for/Published in: JMIR Public Health and Surveillance

Date Submitted: Jul 24, 2025
Date Accepted: Nov 5, 2025

The final, peer-reviewed published version of this preprint can be found here:

Long-Term Ambient Air Pollution Exposure and the Risk of Cardiovascular and Cerebrovascular Diseases in Rural Chinese Populations: 10-Year Follow-Up of a Multicenter Prospective Cohort Study

Zhao Y, Cao X, Du J, He A, Liang J, Duan W, Di Y, He Y, Feng B, Shen L, Huang J, Li Z, Liang J, Li H, Liu Z, Liu F, Yang S, Xu Z, Zhang B, Yan J, Liang Y, Liu R, Shen F, Jin Q, Xin H, Gao L

Long-Term Ambient Air Pollution Exposure and the Risk of Cardiovascular and Cerebrovascular Diseases in Rural Chinese Populations: 10-Year Follow-Up of a Multicenter Prospective Cohort Study

JMIR Public Health Surveill 2025;11:e81218

DOI: 10.2196/81218

PMID: 41328041

PMCID: 12669913

Long-term ambient air pollution exposure and the risk of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases in rural Chinese populations: ten-year follow-up of a multi-center prospective cohort study

  • Yaqi Zhao; 
  • Xuefang Cao; 
  • Jiang Du; 
  • Aiwei He; 
  • Jun Liang; 
  • Weitao Duan; 
  • Yuanzhi Di; 
  • Yijun He; 
  • Boxuan Feng; 
  • Linyu Shen; 
  • Juanjuan Huang; 
  • Zihan Li; 
  • Jianguo Liang; 
  • Hongzhi Li; 
  • Zisen Liu; 
  • Fang Liu; 
  • Shumin Yang; 
  • Zuhui Xu; 
  • Bin Zhang; 
  • Jiaoxia Yan; 
  • Yanchun Liang; 
  • Rong Liu; 
  • Fei Shen; 
  • Qi Jin; 
  • Henan Xin; 
  • Lei Gao

ABSTRACT

Background:

Long-term follow-up studies investigating the relationship between ambient air pollution and cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases (CVD) in rural Chinese populations remain limited.

Objective:

Investigating the impact of prolonged exposure to PM2.5 on CVD in rural areas of China.

Methods:

Based on a multi-center population-based prospective study, the adult rural residents (≥15 years old) from three study sites (Xiangtan, Hunan Province; Longxi, Gansu Province; and Zhongmu, Henan Province) with different PM2.5 exposure levels were tracked for the incidence of CVD events between 2013 and 2023. The relationship was assessed by applying the Cox proportional hazards model and the trend test.

Results:

A total of 15,502 participants were included in the study. During the 10-year follow-up period, for every 1 μg/m³ increase in PM2.5, the risks of CVD, Ischemic Stroke (IS), Coronary heart disease (CHD), Acute Coronary Syndrome (ACS), and Intracerebral Hemorrhage (ICH) increased by 5% (HR = 1.05, 95% CI: 1.04-1.06), 7% (HR = 1.07, 95% CI: 1.06-1.08), 8% (HR = 1.08, 95% CI: 1.07-1.09), 9% (HR = 1.09, 95% CI: 1.06-1.11) and 10% (HR = 1.10, 95% CI: (1.07-1.14), respectively. Furthermore, the risk in the high-exposure group (Q4) was found to be significantly higher than that in the low-exposure group (Q1) (P for trend <.001). The subgroup analysis indicated that the risk of CVD was higher among the elderly compared to individuals under 60 years of age, and the interaction effect was statistically significant (interaction P-value = .03).

Conclusions:

Our results indicate that long-term exposure to PM2.5 significantly increases the risk of CVD in rural areas of China. Moreover, there are regional differences and dose-response trends in the intensity of this correlation. Clinical Trial: Not available


 Citation

Please cite as:

Zhao Y, Cao X, Du J, He A, Liang J, Duan W, Di Y, He Y, Feng B, Shen L, Huang J, Li Z, Liang J, Li H, Liu Z, Liu F, Yang S, Xu Z, Zhang B, Yan J, Liang Y, Liu R, Shen F, Jin Q, Xin H, Gao L

Long-Term Ambient Air Pollution Exposure and the Risk of Cardiovascular and Cerebrovascular Diseases in Rural Chinese Populations: 10-Year Follow-Up of a Multicenter Prospective Cohort Study

JMIR Public Health Surveill 2025;11:e81218

DOI: 10.2196/81218

PMID: 41328041

PMCID: 12669913

Download PDF


Request queued. Please wait while the file is being generated. It may take some time.

© The authors. All rights reserved. This is a privileged document currently under peer-review/community review (or an accepted/rejected manuscript). Authors have provided JMIR Publications with an exclusive license to publish this preprint on it's website for review and ahead-of-print citation purposes only. While the final peer-reviewed paper may be licensed under a cc-by license on publication, at this stage authors and publisher expressively prohibit redistribution of this draft paper other than for review purposes.