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Accepted for/Published in: JMIR AI

Date Submitted: Jul 23, 2025
Open Peer Review Period: Jul 23, 2025 - Sep 17, 2025
Date Accepted: Apr 8, 2026
(closed for review but you can still tweet)

The final, peer-reviewed published version of this preprint can be found here:

Improving Vancomycin Therapeutic Drug Monitoring With a Deep Learning–Based Two-Compartment Predictive Model: Development and Validation Study

Mao B, Xie Z, Rasmy L, Nigo M, Zhi D

Improving Vancomycin Therapeutic Drug Monitoring With a Deep Learning–Based Two-Compartment Predictive Model: Development and Validation Study

JMIR AI 2026;5:e81103

DOI: 10.2196/81103

PMID: 42224292

Improving Vancomycin Therapeutic Drug Monitoring with a Deep Learning-Based Two-Compartment Predictive Model: A Development and Validation Study

  • Bingyu Mao; 
  • Ziqian Xie; 
  • Laila Rasmy; 
  • Masayuki Nigo; 
  • Degui Zhi

ABSTRACT

Background:

Vancomycin is a widely used antibiotic that requires therapeutic drug monitoring (TDM) for optimized individual dosage. The deep learning-based model PKRNN-1CM has shown the advantage of leveraging time series electronic health record (EHR) data for individualized estimation of vancomycin pharmacokinetic (PK) parameters. While one-compartment (1CM) PK models are commonly used because of their simplicity and previous trough-based clinical practices for dose adjustment, the pre-deep learning literature suggests the superiority of two-compartment models (2CM).

Objective:

This study introduces PKRNN-2CM, a novel deep learning-based model designed to improve vancomycin TDM by integrating a two-compartment PK framework.

Methods:

PKRNN-2CM combines RNN-driven PK parameter estimation with a 2CM PK model to predict vancomycin concentration trajectories. Training on both simulated data and real-world EHR data allows for a comprehensive evaluation of its performance.

Results:

Experiments based on simulated data highlight PKRNN-2CM's superiority over the simpler 1CM model PKRNN-1CM in predicting vancomycin concentration measurements (PKRNN-2CM RMSE=1.30, PKRNN-1CM RMSE=2.50). Application to real data showcases significant improvement over PKRNN-1CM (PKRNN-2CM RMSE=5.62, PKRNN-1CM RMSE=5.84, two-sample unpaired t-test P-value=0.01), with potential further gains expected with non-trough level measurements. Our simulation also indicates that PKRNN-2CM offers a better estimate of the average area under the concentration-time curve (AUC) to minimum inhibitory concentration (MIC) ratio, a more clinically relevant measure.

Conclusions:

PKRNN-2CM is an important improvement in vancomycin TDM, demonstrating enhanced accuracy and performance compared to the PKRNN-1CM model. This deep learning model holds potential for future individualized vancomycin TDM optimization and broader application in diverse clinical scenarios.


 Citation

Please cite as:

Mao B, Xie Z, Rasmy L, Nigo M, Zhi D

Improving Vancomycin Therapeutic Drug Monitoring With a Deep Learning–Based Two-Compartment Predictive Model: Development and Validation Study

JMIR AI 2026;5:e81103

DOI: 10.2196/81103

PMID: 42224292

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