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Accepted for/Published in: JMIR Medical Informatics

Date Submitted: Jul 9, 2025
Date Accepted: Jan 7, 2026

The final, peer-reviewed published version of this preprint can be found here:

Assessing the Impact of Sociodemographic Factors on Artificial Intelligence Models in Predicting Dementia: Retrospective Cohort Study

Liu X, Garg M, Vassilaki M, St. Sauver J, Petersen RC, Malik MM, Wi CI, Juhn YJ, Sohn S

Assessing the Impact of Sociodemographic Factors on Artificial Intelligence Models in Predicting Dementia: Retrospective Cohort Study

JMIR Med Inform 2026;14:e80405

DOI: 10.2196/80405

PMID: 41701928

PMCID: 12912463

Warning: This is an author submission that is not peer-reviewed or edited. Preprints - unless they show as "accepted" - should not be relied on to guide clinical practice or health-related behavior and should not be reported in news media as established information.

Assessing the Impact of Sociodemographic Factors on Artificial Intelligence models in Predicting Dementia: Retrospective Cohort Study

  • Xingyi Liu; 
  • Muskan Garg; 
  • Maria Vassilaki; 
  • Jennifer St. Sauver; 
  • Ronald C. Petersen; 
  • Momin M. Malik; 
  • Chung Il Wi; 
  • Young J. Juhn; 
  • Sunghwan Sohn

ABSTRACT

Background:

Artificial intelligence (AI) is increasingly applied to healthcare, yet concerns about fairness persist, particularly in relation to sociodemographic disparities. Prior studies suggest that socioeconomic status (SES) and sex may influence AI model performance, potentially exacerbating existing health inequalities.

Objective:

To investigate how SES and sex intersect with AI model performance in predicting dementia risk, and to assess whether these factors contribute to algorithmic bias.

Methods:

Data from two population-based cohorts—the Rochester Epidemiology Project and the Mayo Clinic Study on Aging—were utilized. SES was quantified at both group and individual levels using the Area Deprivation Index and the HOUSES index, respectively. Four AI models (Random Forest, Logistic Regression, Support Vector Machine, and Naïve Bayes) were trained to predict dementia risk. Balanced error rate (BER) was used as a fairness metric to evaluate model bias across SES and sex strata. Additionally, an oversampling technique was implemented to improve minority SES group representation in the training data.

Results:

The study found substantial disparities in model performance, with low SES groups consistently showing higher BERs across all models, indicating reduced accuracy and potential bias. These disparities were present despite the use of different model architectures. Application of the oversampling method demonstrated potential for reducing these biases.

Conclusions:

This research highlights the importance of incorporating sociodemographic context into AI modeling in healthcare. The HOUSES index, as a validated, nationwide individual-level SES measure, offers a promising tool for bias assessment. Future AI development should integrate strategies like oversampling to promote equity and ensure models do not reinforce existing disparities in health outcomes.


 Citation

Please cite as:

Liu X, Garg M, Vassilaki M, St. Sauver J, Petersen RC, Malik MM, Wi CI, Juhn YJ, Sohn S

Assessing the Impact of Sociodemographic Factors on Artificial Intelligence Models in Predicting Dementia: Retrospective Cohort Study

JMIR Med Inform 2026;14:e80405

DOI: 10.2196/80405

PMID: 41701928

PMCID: 12912463

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