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Accepted for/Published in: JMIR Formative Research

Date Submitted: Jun 16, 2025
Date Accepted: Oct 30, 2025
Date Submitted to PubMed: Nov 16, 2025

The final, peer-reviewed published version of this preprint can be found here:

Predictors of Psychiatric Emergency Department Visits Following Inpatient Discharge: Secondary Analysis of a Stepped-Wedge Cluster Randomized Trial

Mao W, Shalaby R, Owusu E, Elgendy HE, Agyapong B, Chue P, Silverstone PH, Greenshaw AJ, Li XM, Eboreime E, Vuong W, Ohinmaa A, MacMaster FP, MacMaster FP, Agyapong V

Predictors of Psychiatric Emergency Department Visits Following Inpatient Discharge: Secondary Analysis of a Stepped-Wedge Cluster Randomized Trial

JMIR Form Res 2026;10:e79184

DOI: 10.2196/79184

PMID: 41911338

Predictors of Psychiatric Emergency Department Visits Following Inpatient Discharge: Secondary Analysis of a Stepped-Wedge Cluster Randomized Trial

  • Wanying Mao; 
  • Reham Shalaby; 
  • Ernest Owusu; 
  • Hossam Eldin Elgendy; 
  • Belinda Agyapong; 
  • Pierre Chue; 
  • Peter H Silverstone; 
  • Andrew J Greenshaw; 
  • Xin-Min Li; 
  • Ejemai Eboreime; 
  • Wesley Vuong; 
  • Arto Ohinmaa; 
  • Frank P MacMaster; 
  • Frank P MacMaster; 
  • Vincent Agyapong

ABSTRACT

Background:

The period following discharge from psychiatric inpatient care represents a critical transition phase marked by heightened vulnerability to relapse, including increased risks of emergency department (ED) utilization. Understanding the risk factors for ED utilization after hospital discharge will help identify individuals who should be targeted for enhanced follow-up care in the community.

Objective:

This study aimed to examine the sociodemographic and clinical factors associated with psychiatric ED utilization within six months of discharge from inpatient psychiatric care among individuals assigned to different post-discharge interventions. The goal is to identify high-risk groups to inform targeted follow-up strategies and enhance transitional care planning.

Methods:

This study analyzed secondary data from a pragmatic stepped-wedge cluster-randomized trial which recruited patients across ten healthcare sites in Alberta, Canada, from March 2022 to February 2024. For the primary study, a total of 1,098 psychiatric inpatients were allocated to one of three post-discharge conditions: TAU, SMS, or SMS+PS. Sociodemographic and clinical data were collected at discharge. ED visits 6-months post-discharge were recorded. Chi-square tests identified variables associated with ED utilization. Significant predictors were entered into a logistic regression model to determine adjusted odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

Results:

Of the 1,098 participants, demographic and clinical variables were examined for association with mental health ED visits at 6-months post discharge. Univariate analysis identified six significant predictors: age, ethnicity, relationship status, employment, housing status, and prior ED use. Logistic regression analysis identified several predictors of mental health ED visits 6-months post-discharge. Compared to participants under 25, those aged 26–40 was less likely to revisit the ED (OR = 0.66, 95% CI: 0.46–0.95), as were those over 40 (OR = 0.58, 95% CI: 0.37–0.92). Individuals identifying as mixed/other ethnicity were less likely than Caucasians to return to the ED (OR = 0.52, 95% CI: 0.28–0.96). Unemployed participants had higher odds of ED use than those employed (OR = 1.66, 95% CI: 1.18–2.34). Prior ED attendance was the strongest predictor (OR = 2.45, 95% CI: 1.03–5.80). Housing status showed varied but non-significant effects.

Conclusions:

This study highlights key demographic and clinical factors influencing psychiatric ED use following inpatient discharge. The findings emphasize the importance of targeted transitional care interventions, particularly for high-risk groups such as younger, unemployed, and previously ED-utilizing individuals, and support the integration of scalable approaches like SMS and peer support into discharge planning.


 Citation

Please cite as:

Mao W, Shalaby R, Owusu E, Elgendy HE, Agyapong B, Chue P, Silverstone PH, Greenshaw AJ, Li XM, Eboreime E, Vuong W, Ohinmaa A, MacMaster FP, MacMaster FP, Agyapong V

Predictors of Psychiatric Emergency Department Visits Following Inpatient Discharge: Secondary Analysis of a Stepped-Wedge Cluster Randomized Trial

JMIR Form Res 2026;10:e79184

DOI: 10.2196/79184

PMID: 41911338

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