Maintenance Notice

Due to necessary scheduled maintenance, the JMIR Publications website will be unavailable from Wednesday, July 01, 2020 at 8:00 PM to 10:00 PM EST. We apologize in advance for any inconvenience this may cause you.

Who will be affected?

Accepted for/Published in: JMIR Medical Informatics

Date Submitted: Feb 25, 2025
Date Accepted: Sep 15, 2025

The final, peer-reviewed published version of this preprint can be found here:

Association Between Metabolic Clusters and Microbial Age in High-Risk Populations for Diabetes and Their Potential Impact on Cardiovascular Disease Risk: Cross-Sectional Observational Study

Xinlin L, Gu H, Li R, Mao X, Chen C

Association Between Metabolic Clusters and Microbial Age in High-Risk Populations for Diabetes and Their Potential Impact on Cardiovascular Disease Risk: Cross-Sectional Observational Study

JMIR Med Inform 2026;14:e73119

DOI: 10.2196/73119

PMID: 42190264

PMCID: 13211869

The Association between Metabolic Clusters and Microbial Age in High-Risk Populations for Diabetes and Their Potential Impact on Cardiovascular Disease Risk

  • Lu Xinlin; 
  • Hongli Gu; 
  • Ren Li; 
  • Xianjun Mao; 
  • Can Chen

ABSTRACT

Background:

Metabolic multimorbidity (MC) is prevalent in high-risk populations for diabetes and is linked to cardiovascular disease (CVD) and gut microbiota composition. The relationship between MCs, microbial age (MA), and metabolic markers remains poorly understood.

Objective:

This study investigates the characteristics of MCs and MA in high-risk diabetic populations, focusing on their associations with gut microbiota, metabolic dysregulation, and CVD risk.

Methods:

Using data from the NIH Integrative Human Microbiome Project (iHMP), we performed metabolomic and microbiomic analyses. K-means clustering identified MCs, and redundancy analysis (RDA) examined the relationship between metabolic variables and microbiota. A random forest (RF) model predicted MA and CVD risk, while linear discriminant analysis effect size (LEfSe) identified microbial species associated with MCs and MA. Co-occurrence network analysis explored microbial interactions.

Results:

Three MCs were identified, each linked to distinct metabolic dysfunctions (glucose, lipid, or homeostasis). RDA revealed age as a major factor in gut microbiota composition (R²=3%). The RF model showed strong MA-age correlation. LEfSe analysis identified Akkermansia and Clostridium IV as key differentially abundant microbes. The high MA group showed greater lipid metabolism dysfunction and CVD risk.

Conclusions:

This study highlights the relationship between MCs, MA, and gut microbiota, providing insights for early intervention and personalized treatment strategies for diabetes and related metabolic disorders. Clinical Trial: Not appliable.


 Citation

Please cite as:

Xinlin L, Gu H, Li R, Mao X, Chen C

Association Between Metabolic Clusters and Microbial Age in High-Risk Populations for Diabetes and Their Potential Impact on Cardiovascular Disease Risk: Cross-Sectional Observational Study

JMIR Med Inform 2026;14:e73119

DOI: 10.2196/73119

PMID: 42190264

PMCID: 13211869

PDF not available

The author of this paper has made a PDF available, but requires the user to login, or create an account.

© The authors. All rights reserved. This is a privileged document currently under peer-review/community review (or an accepted/rejected manuscript). Authors have provided JMIR Publications with an exclusive license to publish this preprint on it's website for review and ahead-of-print citation purposes only. While the final peer-reviewed paper may be licensed under a cc-by license on publication, at this stage authors and publisher expressively prohibit redistribution of this draft paper other than for review purposes.