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Accepted for/Published in: JMIR Formative Research

Date Submitted: Jun 27, 2024
Open Peer Review Period: Jul 3, 2024 - Aug 28, 2024
Date Accepted: Mar 5, 2025
(closed for review but you can still tweet)

The final, peer-reviewed published version of this preprint can be found here:

Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of a Machine Learning–Based eHealth System to Predict and Reduce Emergency Department Visits and Unscheduled Hospitalizations of Older People Living at Home: Retrospective Study

Havreng-Théry C, Fouchard A, Denis F, Veyron JH, Belmin J

Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of a Machine Learning–Based eHealth System to Predict and Reduce Emergency Department Visits and Unscheduled Hospitalizations of Older People Living at Home: Retrospective Study

JMIR Form Res 2025;9:e63700

DOI: 10.2196/63700

PMID: 40215100

PMCID: 12032495

Warning: This is an author submission that is not peer-reviewed or edited. Preprints - unless they show as "accepted" - should not be relied on to guide clinical practice or health-related behavior and should not be reported in news media as established information.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of an artificial intelligence-based eHealth system to predict and reduce emergency department visits and unscheduled hospitalizations of older people living at home: a retrospective study.

  • Charlotte Havreng-Théry; 
  • Arnaud Fouchard; 
  • Fabrice Denis; 
  • Jacques-Henri Veyron; 
  • Joël Belmin

ABSTRACT

Background:

Dependent older people or those losing their autonomy are risk of emergency hospitalization. digital systems that monitor health remotely could be useful in reducing these visits by detecting worsening health conditions earlier. However, few studies have assessed the medico-economic impact of these systems, particularly for older people.

Objective:

The objective of this study was to analyze the clinical and economic impacts of an eHealth device in real life compared to the usual monitoring of older people living at home.

Methods:

This study is a single-center, retrospective and controlled trial on data collected between May 31, 2021 and May 31, 2022 in one health care and home nursing center located in Brittany, France. Participants had to be older than 75 years, living at home, and receiving assistance from the home care service for at least 1 month. We implemented an eHealth system that produces an alert for a high risk of emergency department visits or hospitalization. After each home visit, the Home aides completed a questionnaire on participants’ functional status, using a smartphone app, and the information was processed in real time by a previously developed machine learning algorithm that identifies patients at risk of an emergency visit within 7 to14 days. In case of risk, the eHealth system alerted a coordinating nurse who could then inform the family carer and the patient’s nurses or general practitioner.

Results:

The use of the Presage Care device reduced the number emergency hospitalization by nearly 32 % compared to the control arm. In total, the use of the Presage Care system reduced hospital costs by 45.72%. This result is a minority result in view of all the additional costs: in home care, in post-hospitalizations consultations and in the major risk of re-hospitalization. In the intervention arm, among the 726 visits not followed by an alert, only 4(0.56%) hospitalizations followed the visit (P<.001), which confirm the relevance of the alerts issued by the system

Conclusions:

This study shows encouraging results on the impact of a remote medical monitoring system for the older adults, both in terms of reducing the number of emergency department visits and the cost of hospitalization. Clinical Trial: NCT05221697


 Citation

Please cite as:

Havreng-Théry C, Fouchard A, Denis F, Veyron JH, Belmin J

Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of a Machine Learning–Based eHealth System to Predict and Reduce Emergency Department Visits and Unscheduled Hospitalizations of Older People Living at Home: Retrospective Study

JMIR Form Res 2025;9:e63700

DOI: 10.2196/63700

PMID: 40215100

PMCID: 12032495

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