Accepted for/Published in: JMIR Formative Research
Date Submitted: Dec 17, 2023
Date Accepted: Jun 8, 2024
Prediction of Mild Cognitive Impairment Status: A Pilot Study On Machine Learning Models Based on Longitudinal Data From Fitness Trackers
ABSTRACT
Background:
Early signs of Alzheimer's disease (AD) are difficult to detect, causing diagnoses to be significantly delayed to time points when brain damage has already occurred, and current experimental treatments have little effect on slowing disease progression. Tracking of cognitive decline at early stages is critical to allow patients to make lifestyle changes and consider new and experimental therapies. Frequently studied biomarkers are invasive and costly, and are limited in predicting conversion from normal to mild cognitive impairment (MCI).
Objective:
Test the use of fitness trackers for predicting MCI status
Methods:
We compared the result of fitness trackers worn for up to a month with regard to physical activity, heart rate and sleep, in 20 participants: twelve MCI and eight age-matched controls. We further developed a machine learning model to predict MCI status.
Results:
Our machine learning model was able to perfectly separate between MCI and controls. Our top predictive features include average deep sleep time, total light activity time, and lowest resting heart rate over a month.
Conclusions:
Our results suggest that a longitudinal digital biomarker differentiates between control and MCI patients in a very cost-effective and noninvasive way and hence may be very useful for identifying patients with very early AD who can benefit from clinical trials and new, disease modifying therapies.
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Copyright
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