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Accepted for/Published in: JMIR Public Health and Surveillance

Date Submitted: Jun 1, 2023
Open Peer Review Period: Jun 1, 2023 - Jun 15, 2023
Date Accepted: Oct 24, 2023
(closed for review but you can still tweet)

The final, peer-reviewed published version of this preprint can be found here:

Combatting SARS-CoV-2 With Digital Contact Tracing and Notification: Navigating Six Points of Failure

Masel J, Petrie JIM, Bay J, Ebbers W, Sharan A, Leibrand S, Gebhard A, Zimmerman S

Combatting SARS-CoV-2 With Digital Contact Tracing and Notification: Navigating Six Points of Failure

JMIR Public Health Surveill 2023;9:e49560

DOI: 10.2196/49560

PMID: 38048155

PMCID: 10728795

Digital contact tracing/notification for SARS-CoV-2: navigating six points of failure

  • Joanna Masel; 
  • James Ian Mackie Petrie; 
  • Jason Bay; 
  • Wolfgang Ebbers; 
  • Aalekh Sharan; 
  • Scott Leibrand; 
  • Andreas Gebhard; 
  • Samuel Zimmerman

ABSTRACT

Digital contact tracing/notification was initially hailed as a promising strategy to combat SARS-CoV-2, but in most jurisdictions it did not live up to its promise. To avert a given transmission event, both parties must have adopted the tech, it must detect the contact, the primary case must be promptly diagnosed, notifications must be triggered, and the secondary case must change their behavior to avoid the focal tertiary transmission event. Achieving a 26% reduction in R(t) requires 80% success rates at each of these six points of failure. Here we review the six failure rates experienced by a variety of digital contact tracing/notification schemes, including Singapore’s TraceTogether, India’s Aarogya Setu, and leading implementations of the Google Apple Exposure Notification system. This leads to a number of recommendations, e.g. that tracing/notification apps be multi-functional and integrated with testing, manual contact tracing, and the gathering of critical scientific data, and that the narrative be framed in terms of user autonomy rather than user privacy.


 Citation

Please cite as:

Masel J, Petrie JIM, Bay J, Ebbers W, Sharan A, Leibrand S, Gebhard A, Zimmerman S

Combatting SARS-CoV-2 With Digital Contact Tracing and Notification: Navigating Six Points of Failure

JMIR Public Health Surveill 2023;9:e49560

DOI: 10.2196/49560

PMID: 38048155

PMCID: 10728795

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