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Accepted for/Published in: JMIR Public Health and Surveillance

Date Submitted: Jan 29, 2023
Date Accepted: Oct 24, 2023

The final, peer-reviewed published version of this preprint can be found here:

Arterial Stiffness and Obesity as Predictors of Diabetes: Longitudinal Cohort Study

Cui C, Wu Z, Zheng J, Chu J, Zhu J, Qi Y, Zhang Z, Wang Z, Zhang M, Mo Z, Cheng L, Ding L, Kang X, Liu L, Zhang T

Arterial Stiffness and Obesity as Predictors of Diabetes: Longitudinal Cohort Study

JMIR Public Health Surveill 2024;10:e46088

DOI: 10.2196/46088

PMID: 38329798

PMCID: 10884903

Arterial stiffness obesity phenotype predicts diabetes: a longitudinal cohort study

  • Cancan Cui; 
  • Zhiyuan Wu; 
  • Jia Zheng; 
  • Jiaqi Chu; 
  • Jiajing Zhu; 
  • Yitian Qi; 
  • Zhenming Zhang; 
  • Zhijia Wang; 
  • Mengchao Zhang; 
  • Zhanhao Mo; 
  • Liangkai Cheng; 
  • Lei Ding; 
  • Xiaoping Kang; 
  • Lin Liu; 
  • Te Zhang

ABSTRACT

Background:

Previous studies have confirmed the separate effect of arterial stiffness and obesity on type 2 diabetes; however, the joint effect of arterial stiffness and obesity on diabetes onset remains unclear.

Objective:

This study aimed to propose the concept of arterial stiffness obesity phenotype and explore the risk stratification capacity for diabetes.

Methods:

This retrospective cohort study used baseline data of 12298 participants from Beijing Xiaotangshan Examination Center between 2008 and 2013, and then annually followed until incident diabetes or 2019. Body mass index (waist circumstance) and brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity were measured to defined arterial stiffness (abdominal) obesity phenotype. Cox proportional hazard model was used to estimate hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI).

Results:

The mean baseline age were 51.2±13.6 years and 8448 (68.7%) were male. After a median follow-up of 5.0 years, 1240 (10.1%) participants developed diabetes. Compared with the ideal vascular function and non-obese group, the highest risk of diabetes was observed in the elevated arterial stiffness and obese group (HR, 1.94; 95% CI, 1.60–2.35). Those of exclusive arterial stiffness or obesity exhibited similar risk of diabetes and the adjusted HRs were 1.63 (95% CI: 1.37-1.94) and 1.64 (95% CI: 1.32-2.04), respectively. Consistent results were observed in multiple sensitivity analyses and subgroups, and alternatively using arterial stiffness abdominal obesity phenotype.

Conclusions:

This study proposed the concept of arterial stiffness (abdominal) obesity phenotype, which could improve the risk stratification and management of diabetes. The clinical significance of arterial stiffness (abdominal) obesity phenotype needs further validation for other cardiometabolic disorders.


 Citation

Please cite as:

Cui C, Wu Z, Zheng J, Chu J, Zhu J, Qi Y, Zhang Z, Wang Z, Zhang M, Mo Z, Cheng L, Ding L, Kang X, Liu L, Zhang T

Arterial Stiffness and Obesity as Predictors of Diabetes: Longitudinal Cohort Study

JMIR Public Health Surveill 2024;10:e46088

DOI: 10.2196/46088

PMID: 38329798

PMCID: 10884903

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