Accepted for/Published in: JMIR Public Health and Surveillance
Date Submitted: Dec 12, 2022
Open Peer Review Period: Dec 9, 2022 - Jan 10, 2023
Date Accepted: Mar 14, 2023
(closed for review but you can still tweet)
Consultation rate and mode in English general practice, 2018 to 2022: a population-based study by deprivation
ABSTRACT
Background:
The COVID-19 pandemic has had a significant impact on primary care service delivery with an increased use of remote consultations. With general practice delivering record numbers of appointments and rising concerns around access, funding and staffing in the UK National Health Service, we assessed contemporary trends in consultation rate and mode (face-to-face versus remote).
Objective:
This paper describes trends in consultation rates in general practice in England for key demographics before and during the COVID-19 pandemic. We explore the use of remote and face-to-face consultations by socio-economic deprivation to understand the possible effect of changes in consultation mode on health inequalities.
Methods:
We did a retrospective analysis of 9,429,919 consultations by GP, nurse or other health care professional between March 2018 and February 2022 for patients registered at 397 English general practices. We used routine electronic health records from Clinical Practice Research Datalink Aurum with linkage to national datasets. Negative binomial models were used to predict consultation rates and modes (remote versus face-to-face) by age, sex, and socioeconomic deprivation over time.
Results:
Overall consultation rates increased by 15% from 4.92 in 2018-19 to 5.66 in 2021-22 with some fluctuation during the start of the COVID-19 pandemic. The breakdown into face-to-face and remote consultations shows that the pandemic precipitated a rapid increase in remote consultations across all groups, but the extent varies by age. Consultation rates increased with increasing levels of deprivation. Socioeconomic differences in consultation rate, adjusted for sex and age, halved during the pandemic (from 0.36 to 0.18 more consultations in the most deprived), effectively narrowing relative differences between deprivation quintiles. This trend remains when stratified by sex but the difference across deprivation quintiles is smaller for men. The most deprived saw a relatively larger increase in remote and decrease in face-to-face consultations rates compared to the least deprived.
Conclusions:
The substantial increases in consultation rates observed in this study imply an increased pressure on general practice. The narrowing of consultation rates between deprivation quintiles is cause for concern, given ample evidence that health needs are greater in more deprived areas.
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