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Accepted for/Published in: Journal of Medical Internet Research

Date Submitted: Oct 27, 2022
Date Accepted: May 9, 2023
Date Submitted to PubMed: May 10, 2023

The final, peer-reviewed published version of this preprint can be found here:

Misinformation and Public Health Messaging in the Early Stages of the Mpox Outbreak: Mapping the Twitter Narrative With Deep Learning

Edinger A, Valdez D, Walsh-Buhi E, Trueblood JS, Lorenzo-Luaces L, Rutter LA, Bollen J

Misinformation and Public Health Messaging in the Early Stages of the Mpox Outbreak: Mapping the Twitter Narrative With Deep Learning

J Med Internet Res 2023;25:e43841

DOI: 10.2196/43841

PMID: 37163694

PMCID: 10282910

Warning: This is an author submission that is not peer-reviewed or edited. Preprints - unless they show as "accepted" - should not be relied on to guide clinical practice or health-related behavior and should not be reported in news media as established information.

Monkeypox Misinformation and Public Health Messaging: Infodemiology Study of Tweets

  • Andy Edinger; 
  • Danny Valdez; 
  • Eric Walsh-Buhi; 
  • Jennifer S. Trueblood; 
  • Lorenzo Lorenzo-Luaces; 
  • Lauren A. Rutter; 
  • Johan Bollen

ABSTRACT

Background:

Like the COVID-19 pandemic, the recent global monkeypox outbreak was characterized by the rising prevalence of public health misinformation on social media. This highlights the continuing challenges faced by public health officials in providing accurate and timely information to the public. We examine the evolving topic distributions of social media narratives during the monkeypox outbreak to observe the tension between rapidly diffusing misinformation and public health communication.

Objective:

To analyze Twitter discussions surrounding the global monkeypox outbreak beginning in May-July 2022.

Methods:

We collected all monkeypox-related Tweets posted between May 7, 2022 and July 23, 2022. We then applied Sentence Bi-directional Encoder from Transformers (S-BERT) to tweet content to generate representations of their content in high-dimensional vector space where semantically similar tweets will be located closely together. We project the set of tweet embeddings to a two-dimensional map by applying Principal Component Analysis (PCA) and Uniform Manifold Approximation Projection (UMAP). Finally, we group these datapoints into 7 topical clusters using k-means clustering and analyze each cluster to determine their dominant topics. We analyze the prevalence of each cluster over time to evaluate longitudinal changes in the data.

Results:

We discovered 7 distinct clusters of topical content. Clusters that largely communicated erroneous or irrelevant information began earlier and grew faster, reaching a wider audience than later communications by official instances and health officials.

Conclusions:

Within a few weeks of the first reported monkeypox cases, an avalanche of mostly false, misleading, irrelevant, or damaging information started to circulate on social media. Official institutions, including the World Health Organization (WHO), acted promptly providing case reports and accurate information within weeks, but were overshadowed by rapidly spreading social media chatter. Our results point to the need for real-time monitoring of social media content to optimize responses to public health emergencies.


 Citation

Please cite as:

Edinger A, Valdez D, Walsh-Buhi E, Trueblood JS, Lorenzo-Luaces L, Rutter LA, Bollen J

Misinformation and Public Health Messaging in the Early Stages of the Mpox Outbreak: Mapping the Twitter Narrative With Deep Learning

J Med Internet Res 2023;25:e43841

DOI: 10.2196/43841

PMID: 37163694

PMCID: 10282910

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