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Accepted for/Published in: JMIR Public Health and Surveillance

Date Submitted: Oct 24, 2022
Date Accepted: May 26, 2023

The final, peer-reviewed published version of this preprint can be found here:

Correlation Between Opioid Drug Prescription and Opioid-Related Mortality in Spain as a Surveillance Tool: Ecological Study

Salazar A, Moreno-Pulido S, Prego P, Henares-Montiel J, Pulido J, Donat M, Sotres G, Sordo L

Correlation Between Opioid Drug Prescription and Opioid-Related Mortality in Spain as a Surveillance Tool: Ecological Study

JMIR Public Health Surveill 2023;9:e43776

DOI: 10.2196/43776

PMID: 37379061

PMCID: 10365608

Warning: This is an author submission that is not peer-reviewed or edited. Preprints - unless they show as "accepted" - should not be relied on to guide clinical practice or health-related behavior and should not be reported in news media as established information.

Correlation between opioid drug prescription and opioid-related mortality in Spain

  • Alejandro Salazar; 
  • Soledad Moreno-Pulido; 
  • Pablo Prego; 
  • Jesús Henares-Montiel; 
  • José Pulido; 
  • Marta Donat; 
  • Gabriel Sotres; 
  • Luis Sordo

ABSTRACT

Background:

Opioid drug prescription (ODP) and opioid-related mortality (ORM) have increased in Spain. However, their relationship is complex, as ORM is registered without considering the type of opioid (legal/illegal).

Objective:

This ecological study aims to examine the correlation between ODP and ODP in Spain.

Methods:

Information on ODP (2000-2019) was obtained from the Spanish Medicines Agency in daily doses per 1,000 inhabitants per day (DHD) for: total ODP, total excluding those with better safety protocols (codeine and/or tramadol), and for each opioid drug separately. Rates of ORM (per 10^6 inhabitants) were calculated based on deaths registered (CIE-10) as opioid poisoning by the National Statistics Institute. The evolution of ODP and ORM was determined separately, as well as their correlations. Their temporal evolution was analyzed using cross-correlations with 24 lags and the cross-correlation function.

Results:

The rate of ORM (2000-2019) ranged between 14/10^6 and 23/10^6, with a minimum in 2006, and an increasing trend starting in 2010. The ODP ranged between 1.51 to 19.94 DHD. The rates of ORM were directly correlated with the DHD of total ODP (r=0.597;p=0.006), total without codeine and tramadol (r=0.934;p<0.001) and every prescribed opioid except buprenorphine (p=0.472). In the time analysis, the correlations between DHD and ORM were observed in the same year (although not statistically significant).

Conclusions:

There is a correlation between prescription of strong opioid drugs and ORM. The role of tramadol and fentanyl is especially important. Control measures should be implemented so that dispensation of these pharmaceuticals strictly follows clinical guidelines, and each patient should be frequently reevaluated.


 Citation

Please cite as:

Salazar A, Moreno-Pulido S, Prego P, Henares-Montiel J, Pulido J, Donat M, Sotres G, Sordo L

Correlation Between Opioid Drug Prescription and Opioid-Related Mortality in Spain as a Surveillance Tool: Ecological Study

JMIR Public Health Surveill 2023;9:e43776

DOI: 10.2196/43776

PMID: 37379061

PMCID: 10365608

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