Maintenance Notice

Due to necessary scheduled maintenance, the JMIR Publications website will be unavailable from Wednesday, July 01, 2020 at 8:00 PM to 10:00 PM EST. We apologize in advance for any inconvenience this may cause you.

Who will be affected?

Accepted for/Published in: JMIR Public Health and Surveillance

Date Submitted: Feb 3, 2022
Open Peer Review Period: Feb 2, 2022 - Feb 16, 2022
Date Accepted: Jul 19, 2022
Date Submitted to PubMed: Jul 21, 2022
(closed for review but you can still tweet)

The final, peer-reviewed published version of this preprint can be found here:

Developing a Long COVID Phenotype for Postacute COVID-19 in a National Primary Care Sentinel Cohort: Observational Retrospective Database Analysis

Mayer N, Meza-Torres B, Okusi C, Delanerolle G, Chapman M, Wang W, Anand S, Feher M, Macartney J, Byford R, Joy M, Gatenby P, Curcin V, Greenhalgh T, Delaney B, de Lusignan S

Developing a Long COVID Phenotype for Postacute COVID-19 in a National Primary Care Sentinel Cohort: Observational Retrospective Database Analysis

JMIR Public Health Surveill 2022;8(8):e36989

DOI: 10.2196/36989

PMID: 35861678

PMCID: 9374163

Warning: This is an author submission that is not peer-reviewed or edited. Preprints - unless they show as "accepted" - should not be relied on to guide clinical practice or health-related behavior and should not be reported in news media as established information.

Developing a post-acute COVID-19 (long covid) phenotype in a national primary care sentinel cohort: protocol for an observational retrospective database analysis

  • Nick Mayer; 
  • Bernardo Meza-Torres; 
  • Cecilia Okusi; 
  • Gayathri Delanerolle; 
  • Martin Chapman; 
  • Wenjuan Wang; 
  • Sneha Anand; 
  • Michael Feher; 
  • Jack Macartney; 
  • Rachel Byford; 
  • Mark Joy; 
  • Piers Gatenby; 
  • Vasa Curcin; 
  • Trisha Greenhalgh; 
  • Brendan Delaney; 
  • Simon de Lusignan

ABSTRACT

Background:

Following COVID-19 up to 40% of people have ongoing health problems, referred to as “post-acute COVID-19” or long covid (LC). LC varies from a single persisting symptom to a complex multi-system disease. Research has flagged that this condition is under recorded in primary care record; and seeks to better define its clinical characteristics and management. Phenotypes provide a standard method for case definition and identification from routine data and are usually machine processable. A LC phenotype can underpin research into this condition.

Objective:

To develop a phenotype for long COVID-19 to inform the epidemiology and future research into this condition. We will compare clinical symptoms in people with long COVID-19 before and after their index infection. We will also compare people recoded as having acute infection with those with LC who have been hospitalised with those who are not.

Methods:

We used data from the Primary Care Sentinel Cohort (PCSC) of the Oxford-Royal College of General Practitioners (RCGP) Research and Surveillance Centre (RSC) database. The PCSC is recruited to be nationally representative of the English population. We developed a long LC phenotype using our established three-step ontological method: (1) Ontological step: Defining the reasoning process underpinning the phenotype; (2) Coding step: Exploring what clinical terms are available; (3) Logical extract model: testing performance. We created version of this phenotype using Protégé in the ontology web language (OWL) for Bioportal and using Phenoflow. We used the phenotype to compare people with long COVID-19 with: (1) Their symptoms in the year prior to acquiring COVID-19; and (2) People with acute COVID-19. We also compared hospitalised people with long COVID-19 with those not hospitalised. We compared socio-demographic details (age, gender, ethnicity, socioeconomic-status, obesity and smoking), comorbidities (cardiometabolic, respiratory and mental health) and Office of National Statistics (ONS) defined long covid symptoms between groups. We used descriptive statistics and logistic regression.

Results:

The long covid phenotype, available in Bioportal and Phenoflow, formats that differentiates people hospitalised with LC from people who are not, and where there no index infection is identified. The PCSC (N=7.4 million) includes 428,479 patients with an acute COVID-19 diagnosis confirmed by a laboratory test and 10,772 patients with clinically diagnosed COVID-19. We have before and after symptoms related to LC for hospitalized and community strata. 7,471 (1.74%;95CI=1.70-1.78) people were coded as having LC, 1,009 (13.5%;95CI=12.7-14.3) had a hospital admission related to acute COVID-19, 6,462 (86.5%;95CI=85.7-87.3) were not admitted to hospital of whom 2,728 had no COVID-19 index date recorded. 15.6% (95CI=14.7-16.5) of people with LC were hospitalised compared to 4.9% (95CI=4.8-5.0, p<0.0001) with uncomplicated COVID-19.

Conclusions:

Our long covid phenotype identifies LC cases and enables us to conduct a comparison between LC and defined comparator groups. Clinical Trial: Not applicable


 Citation

Please cite as:

Mayer N, Meza-Torres B, Okusi C, Delanerolle G, Chapman M, Wang W, Anand S, Feher M, Macartney J, Byford R, Joy M, Gatenby P, Curcin V, Greenhalgh T, Delaney B, de Lusignan S

Developing a Long COVID Phenotype for Postacute COVID-19 in a National Primary Care Sentinel Cohort: Observational Retrospective Database Analysis

JMIR Public Health Surveill 2022;8(8):e36989

DOI: 10.2196/36989

PMID: 35861678

PMCID: 9374163

Download PDF


Request queued. Please wait while the file is being generated. It may take some time.

© The authors. All rights reserved. This is a privileged document currently under peer-review/community review (or an accepted/rejected manuscript). Authors have provided JMIR Publications with an exclusive license to publish this preprint on it's website for review and ahead-of-print citation purposes only. While the final peer-reviewed paper may be licensed under a cc-by license on publication, at this stage authors and publisher expressively prohibit redistribution of this draft paper other than for review purposes.