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Accepted for/Published in: Journal of Medical Internet Research

Date Submitted: Dec 18, 2020
Date Accepted: Nov 11, 2021

The final, peer-reviewed published version of this preprint can be found here:

Population Preferences for Performance and Explainability of Artificial Intelligence in Health Care: Choice-Based Conjoint Survey

Ploug T, Sundby A, Moeslund TB, Holm S

Population Preferences for Performance and Explainability of Artificial Intelligence in Health Care: Choice-Based Conjoint Survey

J Med Internet Res 2021;23(12):e26611

DOI: 10.2196/26611

PMID: 34898454

PMCID: 8713089

Population Preferences for Performance and Explainability of Artificial Intelligence in Health Care: A Choice Based Conjoint Survey

  • Thomas Ploug; 
  • Anna Sundby; 
  • Thomas B. Moeslund; 
  • Søren Holm

ABSTRACT

Background:

Certain types of Artificial Intelligence (AI), i.e. deep learning models, can outperform health care professionals in particular domains. Such models hold considerable promise for improved diagnostics, treatment and prevention as well as more cost-efficient health care. They are, however, opaque in the sense that their exact reasoning cannot be fully explicated. Different stakeholders have emphasised the importance of the transparency / explainability of AI decision-making. Transparency / explainability may come at the cost of performance. There is need of a public policy regulating the use of AI in health care that balances the societal interests in high performance as well as in transparency / explainability. A public policy should take into account the wider public’s interests in such features of AI.

Objective:

Eliciting the population’s preferences for the performance and explainability of AI decision-making in health care, and to determine if these preferences depend on respondent characteristics including trust in health and technology, and fears and hopes regarding AI.

Methods:

We conducted a choice based conjoint survey of population preferences for attributes of AI decision-making in health care. Initial focus group interviews yielded six attributes playing a role for the respondents’ views on the use of AI decision-support in health care: 1) type of AI decision 2) level of explanation, 3) performance/accuracy, 4) responsibility for the final decision, 5) possibility of discrimination, and 6) severity of the disease to which the AI is applied. 100 unique choice sets were developed in a fractional factorial design. In a 12 task survey respondents were asked about their preference for AI system use in hospitals in relation to three different scenarios.

Results:

Of the 1678 potential respondents 61.2% participated. The respondents consider the doctor having the final responsibility for treatment decisions the most important attribute with 46.8% of the total weight of attributes, followed by the explainability of the decision (27.3%) and whether the system has been tested for discrimination (14.8%). While gender, age, level of education, whether respondents live rurally or in towns, trust in health and technology, and fears and hopes regarding AI do influence the importance allocated to different attributes, they do not play a significant role in the majority of cases.

Conclusions:

If the performance of AI systems in health care is on a par with doctors, it is of greater impor¬tance to the public that doctors are ultimately responsible for diagnostics and treatment planning, that the AI decision support is explainable, and the AI system has been tested for discrimination. Public policy on AI system use in health care should give priority to such AI system use and ensure that patients are provided with information respectively. Clinical Trial: N/A


 Citation

Please cite as:

Ploug T, Sundby A, Moeslund TB, Holm S

Population Preferences for Performance and Explainability of Artificial Intelligence in Health Care: Choice-Based Conjoint Survey

J Med Internet Res 2021;23(12):e26611

DOI: 10.2196/26611

PMID: 34898454

PMCID: 8713089

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