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Accepted for/Published in: JMIR Public Health and Surveillance

Date Submitted: Feb 19, 2021
Date Accepted: Mar 30, 2021
Date Submitted to PubMed: Apr 23, 2021

The final, peer-reviewed published version of this preprint can be found here:

Impact of Firearm Surveillance on Gun Control Policy: Regression Discontinuity Analysis

Post L, Mason M, Singh LN, Wleklinski NP, Moss CB, Mohammad H, Issa TZ, Akhetuamhen AI, Brandt CA, Oehmke JF

Impact of Firearm Surveillance on Gun Control Policy: Regression Discontinuity Analysis

JMIR Public Health Surveill 2021;7(4):e26042

DOI: 10.2196/26042

PMID: 33783360

PMCID: 8103291

Warning: This is an author submission that is not peer-reviewed or edited. Preprints - unless they show as "accepted" - should not be relied on to guide clinical practice or health-related behavior and should not be reported in news media as established information.

Gun Control Policy to Prevent Public Mass Shootings: Regression Lines of Discontinuety Study

  • Lori Post; 
  • Maryann Mason; 
  • Lauren Nadya Singh; 
  • Nicholas P Wleklinski; 
  • Charles B Moss; 
  • Hassan Mohammad; 
  • Tariq Z Issa; 
  • Adesuwa I Akhetuamhen; 
  • Cynthia A Brandt; 
  • James Francis Oehmke

ABSTRACT

Background:

Public mass shootings are a significant public health problem that require systematic surveillance to inform policies that combat gun injuries. While there is widespread agreement that something needs to be done to stop public mass shootings, exactly which policies that entails varies such as the prohibition of assault weapons and large capacity magazines.

Objective:

Needs to be added

Methods:

The FAWB resulted in a significant decrease in public mass shootings, number of gun deaths and injuries. We estimate the FAWB prevented 11 public mass shootings during the decade the ban was in place. A continuation of the FAWB would have prevented 30 public mass shootings that killed 339 people and injured an additional 1139 people.

Results:

The FAWB resulted in a significant decrease in public mass shootings, number of gun deaths and injuries. We estimate the FAWB prevented 11 public mass shootings during the decade the ban was in place. A continuation of the FAWB would have prevented 30 public mass shootings that killed 339 people and injured an additional 1139 people.

Conclusions:

This study demonstrates the utility of public health surveillance on gun violence. Surveillance informs policy on whether a ban on assault weapons and high capacity magazines reduces public mass shootings. As society searches for effective policies to prevent the next public mass shooter, we must consider the overwhelming evidence that assault weapon bans and/or large capacity magazine bans work. Clinical Trial: NA


 Citation

Please cite as:

Post L, Mason M, Singh LN, Wleklinski NP, Moss CB, Mohammad H, Issa TZ, Akhetuamhen AI, Brandt CA, Oehmke JF

Impact of Firearm Surveillance on Gun Control Policy: Regression Discontinuity Analysis

JMIR Public Health Surveill 2021;7(4):e26042

DOI: 10.2196/26042

PMID: 33783360

PMCID: 8103291

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