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Accepted for/Published in: JMIR Infodemiology

Date Submitted: Aug 24, 2025
Open Peer Review Period: Sep 5, 2025 - Oct 31, 2025
Date Accepted: Feb 9, 2026
(closed for review but you can still tweet)

The final, peer-reviewed published version of this preprint can be found here:

Social Media Perspectives on a Future HIV Vaccine: Mixed Methods Analysis

Rabin MA, Penuela-Wermers S, Sehgal NKR, Egbe TI, Lavery CLM, Guntuku SC, Buttenheim AM

Social Media Perspectives on a Future HIV Vaccine: Mixed Methods Analysis

JMIR Infodemiology 2026;6:e82917

DOI: 10.2196/82917

PMID: 41855431

“Crying happy tears” or “mass murder?” A comparative thematic and rhetorical analysis of social media perspectives on a future HIV vaccine

  • Megan A. Rabin; 
  • Sarah Penuela-Wermers; 
  • Neil K. R. Sehgal; 
  • Teniola I. Egbe; 
  • Criswell L. M. Lavery; 
  • Sharath Chandra Guntuku; 
  • Alison M. Buttenheim

ABSTRACT

Background:

As the prospect of an HIV vaccine nears reality, understanding public discourse around the vaccine is essential for informing communication strategies and addressing misinformation. Social media platforms are influential spaces where public narratives form, yet little research has examined discourse around an HIV vaccine, especially on TikTok.

Objective:

To compare and characterize public discourse about a future HIV vaccine across Twitter and TikTok, identifying prevailing themes, sentiments, and rhetorical strategies to inform public health communication.

Methods:

From over 400,000 tweets and 65,000 TikTok comments, we analyzed the 1,000 most-liked posts on each platform using natural language processing and coded the top 500 posts for rhetorical strategies, sentiment, and themes.

Results:

Our findings reveal expressions of hope and trust in science on both platforms, as well as concerns about institutional corruption and conspiracy theories, such as the belief that the HIV vaccine responds to harm caused by the COVID-19 vaccine. Tweets tended to be more linguistically complex and yielded richer insights, while TikTok comments were shorter and more difficult to interpret without video context. Key rhetorical strategies included conspiracy theories, post hoc reasoning, and emotional appeals.

Conclusions:

This study underscores the need for platform-specific communication strategies to address misinformation and build public trust. Findings offer timely insight into emerging HIV vaccine discourse and highlights actionable opportunities for public health stakeholders to build trust and combat misinformation in advance of vaccine rollout.


 Citation

Please cite as:

Rabin MA, Penuela-Wermers S, Sehgal NKR, Egbe TI, Lavery CLM, Guntuku SC, Buttenheim AM

Social Media Perspectives on a Future HIV Vaccine: Mixed Methods Analysis

JMIR Infodemiology 2026;6:e82917

DOI: 10.2196/82917

PMID: 41855431

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