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Accepted for/Published in: JMIR Cancer

Date Submitted: Mar 6, 2025
Date Accepted: Sep 4, 2025

The final, peer-reviewed published version of this preprint can be found here:

Prognostic Value of Dynamic Lactate Dehydrogenase Trends in Immunotherapy for Advanced Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma: Retrospective Cohort Study

Zhang B, Kang Z, Ding Y, Jing W, Feng A, Zeng R, Li J, Zhao Y, Sun L, Yang Z

Prognostic Value of Dynamic Lactate Dehydrogenase Trends in Immunotherapy for Advanced Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma: Retrospective Cohort Study

JMIR Cancer 2026;12:e73576

DOI: 10.2196/73576

PMID: 41540816

PMCID: 12808870

Warning: This is an author submission that is not peer-reviewed or edited. Preprints - unless they show as "accepted" - should not be relied on to guide clinical practice or health-related behavior and should not be reported in news media as established information.

Prognostic Value of Dynamic Lactate Dehydrogenase Trends in Immunotherapy for Advanced Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma

  • Baidong Zhang; 
  • Zhichao Kang; 
  • Yi Ding; 
  • Wang Jing; 
  • Alei Feng; 
  • Renya Zeng; 
  • Jianan Li; 
  • Yi Zhao; 
  • Lu Sun; 
  • Zhe Yang

ABSTRACT

Background:

Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) have transformed the treatment landscape of advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). However, treatment response varies.

Objective:

This study investigates the prognostic value of dynamic lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) changes during ICI therapy in predicting treatment outcomes.

Methods:

We retrospectively analyzed clinical data from 126 patients with advanced ESCC treated with first-line ICIs. Serum LDH levels were measured after every two cycles of combined immunotherapy and chemotherapy. Receiver Operating Characteristic curve analysis determined the optimal LDH reduction threshold. Kaplan-Meier survival curves and Cox regression models assessed progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS).

Results:

A reduction in LDH following first-line ICI therapy was associated with improved outcomes compared to LDH increases (median PFS: 9.5 vs. 5.4 months, p = 0.004). Patients exhibiting an LDH decrease of > 14.4% had a median PFS of 10.7 months, while those with reductions of 0-14.4% had 9.4 months and patients with LDH increases had 5.4 months. Significant PFS improvement was observed in patients with LDH reductions after two cycles of immunotherapy (p < 0.01). Multivariate analysis identified LDH reduction as an independent predictor of a 41% lower mortality risk (OR: 0.59, 95% CI: 0.36–0.96, p = 0.035).

Conclusions:

Dynamic LDH changes serve as a critical prognostic marker for PFS in advanced ESCC. LDH reductions >14.4% following ICI therapy correlate with significantly better outcomes. Patients with LDH reductions after two cycles of immunotherapy exhibited improved prognoses. All highlight LDH as a valuable biomarker for guiding personalizing treatment strategies in advanced ESCC.


 Citation

Please cite as:

Zhang B, Kang Z, Ding Y, Jing W, Feng A, Zeng R, Li J, Zhao Y, Sun L, Yang Z

Prognostic Value of Dynamic Lactate Dehydrogenase Trends in Immunotherapy for Advanced Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma: Retrospective Cohort Study

JMIR Cancer 2026;12:e73576

DOI: 10.2196/73576

PMID: 41540816

PMCID: 12808870

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