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Accepted for/Published in: JMIR Aging

Date Submitted: Feb 28, 2025
Date Accepted: Sep 13, 2025

The final, peer-reviewed published version of this preprint can be found here:

Association Between Age and Severity at Disability Onset and All-Cause Mortality: Longitudinal Observational Study From the Health and Retirement Study

Bai A, Liu C, Jiang Y, Xu W, Cao J

Association Between Age and Severity at Disability Onset and All-Cause Mortality: Longitudinal Observational Study From the Health and Retirement Study

JMIR Aging 2025;8:e73254

DOI: 10.2196/73254

PMID: 41043133

PMCID: 12494357

Association Between Age and Severity at Disability Onset and All-cause Mortality: The Health and Retirement Study

  • Anying Bai; 
  • Cuie Liu; 
  • Yu Jiang; 
  • Weihao Xu; 
  • Jian Cao

ABSTRACT

Background:

Disability is a global public health challenge, with its prevalence increasing, particularly among older adults, and it exerts a profound impact on both health outcomes and mortality rates.

Objective:

This study investigates the associations between age at disability onset, severity at disability onset, and all-cause mortality in community-dwelling adults.

Methods:

Participants without disabilities in activities of daily living (ADL) or instrumental activities of daily living (IADL) from the Health and Retirement Study were followed biennially until December 31, 2023. During the follow-up period, 4,500 participants developed ADL disability and 4,260 developed IADL disability. For each case subject, a control subject matched for age (±1 year) and sex was randomly selected. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were utilized to assess hazard ratios (HRs) for all-cause mortality among participants with new-onset disabilities, stratified by age groups and severity at disability onset.

Results:

Over a median follow-up duration of 8.58 years, 1,709 deaths occurred in the ADL group, and 1,832 deaths occurred in the IADL group. Individuals who developed ADL disability before the age of 55 exhibited the highest all-cause mortality risk compared to matched controls (HR 3.12, 95% CI 1.85–5.26), which further increased with severe disability (HR 4.07, 95% CI 2.03–8.19). The mortality risk was inversely associated with age at onset. A parallel trend was identified in the IADL cohort. Notably, men demonstrated a significantly elevated mortality risk compared to women, emphasizing the need for gender-specific interventions.

Conclusions:

Early and severe disability onset significantly increases mortality risk, with men experiencing a disproportionately higher risk. Preventive strategies aimed at addressing early-onset and severe disability, with consideration of gender differences, are essential for improving long-term outcomes in affected populations.


 Citation

Please cite as:

Bai A, Liu C, Jiang Y, Xu W, Cao J

Association Between Age and Severity at Disability Onset and All-Cause Mortality: Longitudinal Observational Study From the Health and Retirement Study

JMIR Aging 2025;8:e73254

DOI: 10.2196/73254

PMID: 41043133

PMCID: 12494357

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