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Accepted for/Published in: JMIR Public Health and Surveillance

Date Submitted: Feb 4, 2025
Date Accepted: Aug 4, 2025

The final, peer-reviewed published version of this preprint can be found here:

Effectiveness of Antivirals Nirmatrelvir-Ritonavir and Molnupiravir in Viral Sepsis: Retrospective Cohort Study

Lee TTL, Lyu ACH, Jiang TT, Chan SCL, Chan CY, Yip ETF, Yip LYF, Ho JWK, So KWL, Tsui OWK, Lam ML, Lee SY, Yamamoto T, Tong CK, Wong MS, Wong ELY, Wai AKC, Rainer TH

Effectiveness of Antivirals Nirmatrelvir-Ritonavir and Molnupiravir in Viral Sepsis: Retrospective Cohort Study

JMIR Public Health Surveill 2025;11:e72124

DOI: 10.2196/72124

PMID: 40966482

PMCID: 12445620

Effectiveness of antivirals nirmatrelvir-ritonavir and molnupiravir in viral sepsis: a retrospective cohort study

  • Teddy Tai Loy Lee; 
  • Alex Chang-Hao Lyu; 
  • Ting Ting Jiang; 
  • Sunny Ching Long Chan; 
  • Crystal Ying Chan; 
  • Edmond Tsz Fung Yip; 
  • Luke Yik Fung Yip; 
  • Joshua Wing Kei Ho; 
  • Kevin Wang Leong So; 
  • Omar Wai Kiu Tsui; 
  • Man Lok Lam; 
  • Shi Yeow Lee; 
  • Tafu Yamamoto; 
  • Chak Kwan Tong; 
  • Man Sing Wong; 
  • Eliza Lai Yi Wong; 
  • Abraham Ka Chung Wai; 
  • Timothy Hudson Rainer

ABSTRACT

Background:

Viral infections, including those leading to sepsis, are common but often overlooked in clinical practice, yet the treatment strategies for viral sepsis remain inadequately defined.

Methods:

This retrospective cohort study was conducted across public hospitals in Hong Kong. We included patients diagnosed with COVID-19 between February 22, 2022, and June 30, 2023, who had no secondary bacterial or fungal infections. Propensity score matching was employed to assess the efficacy of the antivirals nirmatrelvir-ritonavir and molnupiravir across various presentations of organ dysfunction at hospital admission, such as circulatory shock, respiratory failure, acute kidney injury, coagulopathy, acute liver impairment, a composite of all organ dysfunctions, or absent organ dysfunction. Key outcomes were in-hospital mortality and length of stay, reported as hazard ratios (HR) and mean differences. Findings: The study included 15,599 COVID-19 patients with a mean age of 75.1 years (SD:15.9). Antiviral treatment was associated with a significantly lower risk of mortality in patients without organ dysfunction for both nirmatrelvir-ritonavir (HR:0.17 [95% CI:0.05 to 0.56]) and molnupiravir (HR:0.29 [95% CI:0.15 to 0.56]). However, no mortality benefit was observed with antiviral use in patients with any form of organ dysfunction. Antivirals however reduced the length of hospital stay, with reductions ranging from a minimum of 3.4 days to a maximum of 7.25 days, depending on the type of organ dysfunction. Interpretation: While antivirals did not reduce mortality in patients with viral sepsis, they were effective in decreasing the length of hospital stay.


 Citation

Please cite as:

Lee TTL, Lyu ACH, Jiang TT, Chan SCL, Chan CY, Yip ETF, Yip LYF, Ho JWK, So KWL, Tsui OWK, Lam ML, Lee SY, Yamamoto T, Tong CK, Wong MS, Wong ELY, Wai AKC, Rainer TH

Effectiveness of Antivirals Nirmatrelvir-Ritonavir and Molnupiravir in Viral Sepsis: Retrospective Cohort Study

JMIR Public Health Surveill 2025;11:e72124

DOI: 10.2196/72124

PMID: 40966482

PMCID: 12445620

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