Maintenance Notice

Due to necessary scheduled maintenance, the JMIR Publications website will be unavailable from Wednesday, July 01, 2020 at 8:00 PM to 10:00 PM EST. We apologize in advance for any inconvenience this may cause you.

Who will be affected?

Accepted for/Published in: JMIR AI

Date Submitted: Dec 1, 2024
Date Accepted: Mar 10, 2026

The final, peer-reviewed published version of this preprint can be found here:

Using Digital Phenotyping for Depression Screening in Community-Dwelling Older Adults: Bayesian Multilevel Hurdle Model Machine Learning Approach

Chung MK, Lim HS, Lee SY, Baek HS, Lee J, Lee KJ, Shin T, Kim MH, Hwang S, Urtnasan E, Park JY, Kwon DH, Lee Jk

Using Digital Phenotyping for Depression Screening in Community-Dwelling Older Adults: Bayesian Multilevel Hurdle Model Machine Learning Approach

JMIR AI 2026;5:e69494

DOI: 10.2196/69494

PMID: 42139722

Using Digital Phenotyping for Depression Screening in Community-Dwelling Older Adults: A Bayesian Multilevel Hurdle Model Machine Learning Approach

  • Moo-Kwon Chung; 
  • Hyo-Sang Lim; 
  • Sang Yup Lee; 
  • Hyo Seok Baek; 
  • Jinhee Lee; 
  • Kyoung Joung Lee; 
  • Taeksoo Shin; 
  • Min-Hyuk Kim; 
  • Sangwon Hwang; 
  • Erdenebayar Urtnasan; 
  • Ji Young Park; 
  • Dan Hee Kwon; 
  • Jin-kyung Lee

ABSTRACT

Background:

Following the rapid population aging, mental health for older adults has received growing attention. The likelihood of experiencing depressive symptoms becomes higher in late adulthood. However, older adults are reluctant to visit a clinic with their mental health issues. As a result, many remain undiagnosed and untreated. Digital phenotyping can help solve this problem. Although longitudinal monitoring using wearable devices can be helpful for promptly identifying the risk of depression in older adults, there has not been sufficient investigation to develop a machine learning approach that differentiates between-person and within-person changes.

Objective:

This study aims to investigate whether and how collecting active and passive digital phenotyping data through wearable devices can help predict the risk of depression in older adults. In particular, this study considers multilevel modeling as part of a machine learning approach to monitor the risk of depression in older adults, distinguishing between-person and within-person changes.

Methods:

Using Bayesian models, we analyzed 1,011 cases reported by 147 older Korean adults. Participants were asked to complete the PHQ-9 items in our mobile app during the last week of each month. Participants also visited annually to participate in our in-person data collection on their socio-demographic, physical, and psychological characteristics. Beyond the annual in-person data collection, we collected active data, such as daily mood and weekly stress, through our mobile application. Passive-sensing data, including step counts and sleep logs, were collected via a smartwatch. Bayesian multilevel models with continuous and binary outcomes, respectively, were employed to predict depression in older adults.

Results:

Bayesian multilevel machine learning models yield good model performance. Adding active data and passive sensing data demonstrates high AUCs and R-squared values in Bayesian models. There were significant differences in depressive symptoms at the between-person level and the within-person level. The mean and standard deviation of daily mood, the mean and standard deviation of weekly stress, and the average minutes of deep sleep were significantly associated with older adults' depressive symptoms in the month. Participants' age, anxiety, and self-report regular sleep hours were also significantly associated with depressive symptom severity.

Conclusions:

In mental health screening, collecting active and passive digital phenotyping data can be used in conjunction with traditional clinical screening tools to identify high-risk groups for depression and to monitor its severity in the general aged population.


 Citation

Please cite as:

Chung MK, Lim HS, Lee SY, Baek HS, Lee J, Lee KJ, Shin T, Kim MH, Hwang S, Urtnasan E, Park JY, Kwon DH, Lee Jk

Using Digital Phenotyping for Depression Screening in Community-Dwelling Older Adults: Bayesian Multilevel Hurdle Model Machine Learning Approach

JMIR AI 2026;5:e69494

DOI: 10.2196/69494

PMID: 42139722

Download PDF


Request queued. Please wait while the file is being generated. It may take some time.

© The authors. All rights reserved. This is a privileged document currently under peer-review/community review (or an accepted/rejected manuscript). Authors have provided JMIR Publications with an exclusive license to publish this preprint on it's website for review and ahead-of-print citation purposes only. While the final peer-reviewed paper may be licensed under a cc-by license on publication, at this stage authors and publisher expressively prohibit redistribution of this draft paper other than for review purposes.