Maintenance Notice

Due to necessary scheduled maintenance, the JMIR Publications website will be unavailable from Wednesday, July 01, 2020 at 8:00 PM to 10:00 PM EST. We apologize in advance for any inconvenience this may cause you.

Who will be affected?

Accepted for/Published in: JMIR Aging

Date Submitted: Nov 13, 2024
Open Peer Review Period: Nov 27, 2024 - Jan 22, 2025
Date Accepted: Sep 4, 2025
(closed for review but you can still tweet)

The final, peer-reviewed published version of this preprint can be found here:

Exploring Risk Factors Related to Low Calf Circumference in Older Adults With Multimorbidity: Cross-Sectional Latent Class Analysis

Peng X, Zhou R, Chen X, Shi F, Zhu T, Chen G

Exploring Risk Factors Related to Low Calf Circumference in Older Adults With Multimorbidity: Cross-Sectional Latent Class Analysis

JMIR Aging 2025;8:e68760

DOI: 10.2196/68760

PMID: 41037676

PMCID: 12490777

Exploring Risk Factors Related to Low Calf Circumference in Older Adults with Multimorbidity: A Cross-Sectional Latent Class Analysis Study

  • Xilin Peng; 
  • Ruihao Zhou; 
  • Xudong Chen; 
  • Fanfan Shi; 
  • Tao Zhu; 
  • Guo Chen

ABSTRACT

Background:

As the global population continues to age, the prevalence of sarcopenia is gradually increasing, and the loss of skeletal muscle mass is one of the manifestations of sarcopenia. Low calf circumference is often used as a predictor of poor skeletal muscle mass or sarcopenia. The older adults usually have a combination of multiple chronic diseases. There is a lack of evidence to explore the risk factors for low calf circumference with multimorbidity in Chinese community-dwelling older adults.

Objective:

This study aimed to explore the risk factors and potential categories in low calf circumference with multimorbidity older adult patients from an individual-centered perspective.

Methods:

We selected 15,874 participants from the Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey in 2018 and screened for low calf circumference older adult patients. The "individual-centered" Latent class analysis to classify potential multimorbidity groups. Applying elastic net to screen the reliable risk variables, multiple logistic regression was used to explore the risk factors in low calf circumference with multimorbidity.

Results:

A collection of 7956 older individuals was eligible for the research, with age over 90 years accounting for 49.77%, the prevalence of low calf circumference occurred in 66.68%, 27.22% with multimorbidity in low calf circumference. Between 65 and 89 years of age, the prevalence of multimorbidity increased with age. However, the majority of older adults are in reasonably good health after the age of 90. Five multimorbidity groups were identified by latent class analysis: multisystem morbidity diseases (3.60%), arthritis-rheumatism or rheumatoid diseases (18.47%), diabetes-hypertension diseases (15.23%), respiratory-heart diseases (16.02%), and cardiovascular diseases (46.68%). Through 12 variables screened by elastic net, multiple logistic regression showed different significant impaction to multimorbidity groups, including demographic background, behavioural characteristics, and physical and mental health factors. In particular, older patients who self-report poor health grading and live in urban areas need more attention.

Conclusions:

Our results revealed that low calf circumference is a common phenomenon among older adults in the community-dwelling older adults, and combined multimorbidity is also a large group. In the low calf circumference older adult population, the proportion of multimorbidity does not simply increase with age. Multimorbidity in low calf circumference has been identified in five potential groups. Different groups have distinctive risk factors. Public health authorities should pay attention to the low calf circumference in older adult patients with multimorbidity, carrying out targeted interventions and enhancing health outcomes.


 Citation

Please cite as:

Peng X, Zhou R, Chen X, Shi F, Zhu T, Chen G

Exploring Risk Factors Related to Low Calf Circumference in Older Adults With Multimorbidity: Cross-Sectional Latent Class Analysis

JMIR Aging 2025;8:e68760

DOI: 10.2196/68760

PMID: 41037676

PMCID: 12490777

Download PDF


Request queued. Please wait while the file is being generated. It may take some time.

© The authors. All rights reserved. This is a privileged document currently under peer-review/community review (or an accepted/rejected manuscript). Authors have provided JMIR Publications with an exclusive license to publish this preprint on it's website for review and ahead-of-print citation purposes only. While the final peer-reviewed paper may be licensed under a cc-by license on publication, at this stage authors and publisher expressively prohibit redistribution of this draft paper other than for review purposes.