Maintenance Notice

Due to necessary scheduled maintenance, the JMIR Publications website will be unavailable from Wednesday, July 01, 2020 at 8:00 PM to 10:00 PM EST. We apologize in advance for any inconvenience this may cause you.

Who will be affected?

Accepted for/Published in: JMIR Aging

Date Submitted: Sep 3, 2024
Date Accepted: Dec 5, 2024

The final, peer-reviewed published version of this preprint can be found here:

Comparison of 3 Aging Metrics in Dual Declines to Capture All-Cause Dementia and Mortality Risk: Cohort Study

Bai A, He S, Jiang Y, Xu W, Lin Z

Comparison of 3 Aging Metrics in Dual Declines to Capture All-Cause Dementia and Mortality Risk: Cohort Study

JMIR Aging 2025;8:e66104

DOI: 10.2196/66104

PMID: 39883919

PMCID: 11801771

Comparison of three aging metrics in dual declines to capture all-cause dementia and mortality risk

  • Anying Bai; 
  • Shan He; 
  • Yu Jiang; 
  • Weihao Xu; 
  • Zhanyi Lin

ABSTRACT

Background:

The utility of aging metrics that incorporate cognitive and physical function is not fully understood.

Objective:

We aim to compare the predictive capacities of three distinct aging metrics - motoric cognitive risk syndrome (MCR), physio-cognitive decline syndrome (PCDS), and cognitive frailty (CF) - for incident dementia and all-cause mortality among community-dwelling older adults.

Methods:

We utilized longitudinal data from Waves 10 - 15 of the Health and Retirement Study (HRS). Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was employed to evaluate the effects of MCR, PCDS, and CF on incident all-cause dementia and mortality, controlling for socioeconomic and lifestyle factors, as well as medical comorbidities. Discrimination analysis was conducted to assess and compare the predictive accuracy of the three aging metrics.

Results:

All three metrics were predictive of incident all-cause dementia and mortality when adjusting for multiple confounders, with variations in the strength of their associations (incident dementia: MCR, odds ratio (OR) [95% confidence interval (CI)] 1.90 [1.30–2.78]; CF, 5.06 [2.87–8.92]; PCDS, 3.35 [2.44–4.58]; mortality: MCR, 1.60 [1.17–2.19]; CF, 3.26 [1.99–5.33]; PCDS, 1.58 [1.17–2.13]). The C-index indicated that PCDS and MCR had the highest discriminatory accuracy for all-cause dementia and mortality, respectively.

Conclusions:

Despite the inherent differences among the aging metrics that integrate cognitive and physical functions, they consistently identified risks of dementia and mortality. This underscores the importance of implementing targeted preventive strategies and intervention programs based on these metrics to enhance the overall quality of life and reduce premature deaths in aging populations.


 Citation

Please cite as:

Bai A, He S, Jiang Y, Xu W, Lin Z

Comparison of 3 Aging Metrics in Dual Declines to Capture All-Cause Dementia and Mortality Risk: Cohort Study

JMIR Aging 2025;8:e66104

DOI: 10.2196/66104

PMID: 39883919

PMCID: 11801771

Download PDF


Request queued. Please wait while the file is being generated. It may take some time.

© The authors. All rights reserved. This is a privileged document currently under peer-review/community review (or an accepted/rejected manuscript). Authors have provided JMIR Publications with an exclusive license to publish this preprint on it's website for review and ahead-of-print citation purposes only. While the final peer-reviewed paper may be licensed under a cc-by license on publication, at this stage authors and publisher expressively prohibit redistribution of this draft paper other than for review purposes.