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Accepted for/Published in: Journal of Medical Internet Research

Date Submitted: Dec 15, 2022
Open Peer Review Period: Dec 14, 2022 - Dec 28, 2022
Date Accepted: Jun 6, 2023
(closed for review but you can still tweet)

The final, peer-reviewed published version of this preprint can be found here:

Topics in Antivax and Provax Discourse: Yearlong Synoptic Study of COVID-19 Vaccine Tweets

Zaidi Z, Ye M, Samon FJ, Jama A, Gopalakrishnan B, Gu C, Karunasekera S, Evans J, Kashima Y

Topics in Antivax and Provax Discourse: Yearlong Synoptic Study of COVID-19 Vaccine Tweets

J Med Internet Res 2023;25:e45069

DOI: 10.2196/45069

PMID: 37552535

PMCID: 10411425

Warning: This is an author submission that is not peer-reviewed or edited. Preprints - unless they show as "accepted" - should not be relied on to guide clinical practice or health-related behavior and should not be reported in news media as established information.

Demystifying the COVID-19 vaccine discourse on Twitter

  • Zainab Zaidi; 
  • Mengbin Ye; 
  • Fergus John Samon; 
  • Abdisalam Jama; 
  • Binduja Gopalakrishnan; 
  • Chenhao Gu; 
  • Shanika Karunasekera; 
  • Jamie Evans; 
  • Yoshihisa Kashima

ABSTRACT

Background:

Developing an understanding of the public discourse on COVID-19 vaccination on social media is important not only for addressing the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, but also for future pathogen outbreaks.

Objective:

This study aims to gain insight into the public discussion about COVID-19 vaccine through analysing relevant tweets posted during the first year of the pandemic.

Methods:

We examine a Twitter dataset containing 75 million English tweets discussing COVID-19 vaccination from March 2020 to March 2021. We train a stance detection algorithm using natural language processing (NLP) techniques to classify tweets as `anti-vax' or `pro-vax’ and examine the main topics of discourse using topic modelling techniques.

Results:

While pro-vax tweets (37 million) far outnumbered anti-vax tweets (10 million), a majority of tweets from both stances (63% anti-vax and 53% pro-vax tweets) came from dual-stance users who posted both pro- and anti-vax tweets during the observation period. Pro-vax tweets focused mostly on vaccine development, while anti-vax tweets covered a wide range of topics, some of which included genuine concerns, though there was a large dose of falsehoods. A number of topics were common to both stances, though pro- and anti-vax tweets discussed them from opposite viewpoints. Memes and jokes were amongst the most retweeted messages.

Conclusions:

We did not find any evidence of polarisation and online prevalence of anti-vax discourse, however, targeted countering of falsehoods is important. Future research should examine the role of memes and humour in driving online social media activities.


 Citation

Please cite as:

Zaidi Z, Ye M, Samon FJ, Jama A, Gopalakrishnan B, Gu C, Karunasekera S, Evans J, Kashima Y

Topics in Antivax and Provax Discourse: Yearlong Synoptic Study of COVID-19 Vaccine Tweets

J Med Internet Res 2023;25:e45069

DOI: 10.2196/45069

PMID: 37552535

PMCID: 10411425

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